The key market risks related to Neste's profitability are risks related to utility prices and currencies.
The following table details the approximate impact that movements in Neste's key price and currency exposures would have on its IFRS operating profit in 2019, based on assumptions regarding the Group's reference market and operating conditions, but excluding the impact of hedge transactions.
Approximate impact on IFRS operating profit, excluding hedges
|+/- 10 % in the EUR/USD exchange rate||-225/+311 EUR million|
|+/- 1.00 USD/bbl in total refining margin||+/- 110 USD million|
|+/- 10 USD/bbl in crude oil price*||+/- 115 USD million|
|+/- 100 USD/t in Renewable Products' raw material price*||+/- 130 USD million|
|+/- 50 USD/t in Renewable Products' refining margin**||+/- 135 USD million|
* Inventory gains/losses excluded from comparable operating profit.
** Based on name-plate capacity.